Rumores sobre a saída do presidente do Fed, Jerome Powell, circulam online enquanto analistas alertam para uma crise de mercado

O presidente do Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, está sob pressão pública renovada do presidente Donald Trump. Rumores começaram a circular no X em 1º de junho de 2025, de que Powell estava renunciando e que as taxas de juros seriam cortadas em breve. No entanto, não houve confirmação oficial, e muitos analistas de mercado estão descartando as alegações como infundadas.

Este rumor, amplamente divulgado na plataforma social X em 1º de junho de 2025, afirmava que Powell estava renunciando e que as taxas de juros seriam cortadas em breve. No entanto, não houve confirmação oficial, e muitos analistas de mercado estão descartando as alegações como infundadas.

https://twitter.com/Lana_Queen7/status/1929293693913100424

Os traders da Polymarket pareciam igualmente impressionados. Apesar do rumor, as probabilidades no mercado de previsão para a pergunta 'Trump removerá Jerome Powell em 2025?' permaneceram estáveis em 14%, indicando nenhum aumento na confiança no rumor. Analistas disseram que esse ceticismo decorreu da falta de apoio institucional e de um limite constitucional para demitir o presidente do Fed.

Trump reuniu-se com Powell na quinta-feira na Casa Branca, seu primeiro encontro desde o retorno do presidente ao cargo. A declaração do Fed disse que Powell não parecia ter mudado a direção da política e reiterou que as decisões monetárias permaneceriam estritamente dependentes de dados. 

A secretária de imprensa da Casa Branca, Karoline Leavitt, confirmou a reunião, dizendo que Trump pressionou Powell para cortar as taxas de juros, citando a desvantagem econômica de seu país em comparação com países como China.

Trump não escondeu que está frustrado com o presidente do Fed. 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O Supremo Tribunal também se pronunciou, deixando bastante claro que Trump não tem o poder de demitir o presidente do Fed antes do final de seu mandato em 2026.

Independência do Fed testada à medida que a pressão aumenta

Trump suavizou o tom nos últimos dias, dizendo a um entrevistador que não planeja demitir Powell, mas que ele precisa ser substituído em breve. Trump observou, no entanto, que o mandato de Powell termina apenas em um período muito curto em 2026. No entanto, a incerteza reacendeu os temores de que o Fed não seja verdadeiramente independente.

As últimas ameaças de Trump ocorreram após períodos de volatilidade. Em um caso de alto perfil, seus comentários nas redes sociais provocaram mais de alguns dias de caos no mercado em abril.

As taxas de juros permaneceram entre 4,25% e 4,50% nas três últimas reuniões do banco central. Powell recusou-se repetidamente a ceder à influência política e insistiu que as decisões devem seguir os dados macroeconômicos, não as preferências presidenciais. Powell disse em seus comentários públicos que não pediu uma reunião com nenhum presidente dos EUA e que o banco central deve permanecer independente.

Um recente Supremo Tribunal decisão permitindo que Trump mantivesse alguns de seus funcionários de agências independentes demitidos fora do cargo também teve algumas implicações indiretas, observaram alguns analistas jurídicos. No entanto, o tribunal observou que o acordo não se estende ao Federal Reserve, que o tribunal chamou de um corpo estruturado de forma única que se comportou de forma independente no passado.

Bitcoin mantém-se forte em meio à incerteza política

Bitcoin desacoplou-se dos movimentos tradicionais do mercado à medida que as tensões políticas aumentam. O Bitcoin negociou acima de US$ 105.000 apesar da queda da Wall Street e da dólar dos Estados Unidos queda para o menor nível em três anos.

Os dados da CryptoQuant sugerem que a alta atual está se aproximando de um possível topo de curto prazo. A tendência permanece de alta, mas a incerteza política adicional, que pode ver a volatilidade disparar, pode levar à realização de lucros.

Trump nomeou Powell em 2018, e seu mandato atual vai até maio de 2026. Embora tenha permanecido em silêncio sobre os ataques pessoais de Trump, ele repetidamente aderiu à mensagem familiar do Fed de preços estáveis e emprego máximo. Ele também disse que não pediu para ver nenhum presidente em exercício quando estava no cargo.

Powell se reuniu com o presidente duas vezes durante o primeiro mandato de Trump — uma vez no aniversário dele e novamente mais tarde naquele ano. A última reunião foi a primeira troca presencial face a face durante o segundo mandato de Trump, que seguiu meses de pressão pública.