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- Nvidia beat expectations, with Q1 revenue hitting a record $81.6 billion, up 85% from last year and 20% from the previous quarter.
- Data Center stayed dominant, with old-category compute revenue at $60.4 billion and networking revenue at $14.8 billion, both record highs.
- Margins remained strong, with GAAP gross margin at 74.9%, non-GAAP gross margin at 75.0%, and non-GAAP EPS at $1.87.
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Traders are getting ready for a huge move in Nvidia (NVDA) after the company reports Q1 FY27 earnings after the bell on Wednesday.
Options pricing shows the market expects the stock to move about 6.5% in either direction on Thursday, which would equal roughly $355 billion in market value. That is more than the standalone market cap of about 90% of S&P 500 companies.
The expected move is bigger than the 5.6% traders priced in before Nvidia’s February earnings, but it is still below the stock’s historical average post-earnings move of 7.6%, according to Option Research & Technology Services.
That suggests investors are still bullish on the AI chipmaker, but are also trying to protect gains as concerns remain over whether heavy AI infrastructure spending can keep going at this pace.
Wall Street expects first-quarter revenue of $79.15 billion, up from $44.1 billion a year earlier. Data center revenue, which makes up most of Nvidia’s business, is projected at $73.49 billion, compared with $39.1 billion last year. Earnings per share are expected at $1.78, up from $0.81 in the same period last year.
Investors will also be watching Nvidia’s outlook closely. Consensus estimates show Wall Street expects the company to guide current-quarter revenue at $87.2 billion.
Nvidia’s own earlier forecast already set a high bar, with the company guiding for Q1 FY27 revenue of $78.0 billion, plus or minus 2%, while saying that number did not include any Data Center compute revenue from China.
Nvidia shares closed Tuesday at $220.61 and are up about 17% year to date, after gaining more than 15% since the start of 2026 on renewed AI demand. Goldman Sachs analysts said the question is not whether Nvidia beats on sales, earnings, and guidance, but how big the upside is compared with expectations.
According to Goldman Sachs, Nvidia will beat the estimates and upgrade its guidance for this quarter due to strong signals from the demand and supply sides.
Nevertheless, the analysts stated that the company would need to overcome a high threshold of performance expectations in order to exceed expectations before releasing its results.
The analysts mentioned that Nvidia’s multiple may continue growing amid investors’ understanding of better profit margins at hyperscalers, increased application of agent-based AI, and clear adoption trends by nontraditional clients.
What to know
Nvidia delivered another huge AI-driven quarter, beating earnings as revenue jumped to $81.6 billion and Data Center demand kept powering the business.
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