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Anthropic makes biggest case as AI alpha with latest hire

ByHannah CollymoreHannah Collymore
3 mins read
Investors are speculating about when the official announcement may be made because the company behind ChatGPT appears to be preparing for a stock market debut. As early as Friday, OpenAI may discreetly submit draft filings for an IPO, as per some sources. According to reports, the corporation, which is presently valued by private investors at over $850 billion, has engaged Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs to help with the IPO preparations. The file might be made in the upcoming days or weeks, according to the unidentified source. Legal obstacles cleared, timeline accelerates The artificial intelligence firm hasn't publicly confirmed any specific dates. In a statement, OpenAI said it "regularly evaluates strategic options" while staying focused on current business priorities. But internal preparations have been underway to potentially launch the offering during the final three months of this year. The move forward comes just two days after a federal judge threw out Elon Musk's lawsuit against the company. Musk had sought $150 billion in damages and wanted to stop OpenAI from converting to a for-profit structure. Getting this legal matter resolved appears to have cleared a significant roadblock and may have encouraged company leadership to move faster. As Cryptopolitan reported earlier, the timing also overlaps with SpaceX preparing its own public offering. OpenAI might attract less concentrated attention while communicating with investors by submitting around the same time as SpaceX. In what may become one of the largest market listings ever, money managers will now have to consider both well-known corporations. Traders bet heavily on 2026 announcement Reports of the possible filing quickly fueled activity in prediction markets. On Kalshi, traders sharply increased the chances of OpenAI going public before its rival Anthropic. On the prediction market platform, confidence in OpenAI continued to rise sharply, with traders assigning the company an estimated 84% to 85% chance of going public ahead of its rivals. In contrast, contracts tied to Anthropic on Polymarket remained much lower at roughly 22%, reflecting significantly less optimism about the Amazon- and Google-supported startup moving toward an IPO in the near term. The widening gap between the two businesses' odds suggests that investors are becoming more confident in OpenAI's aggressive efforts to capitalize on the generative AI industry's explosive growth and the robust demand for high-profile technology stock offerings. Because many investors now anticipate a significant announcement within the next year, trading activity on prediction platforms has increased significantly. The likelihood of an IPO-related announcement by 2026 has increased to 88%, according to Kalshi. Data from Kalshi reveals spiking trader confidence for an upcoming OpenAI IPO According to Polymarket, OpenAI has a 73% chance of formally going public by the end of 2026. Looking at more specific timeframes, traders think the formal announcement will most likely arrive during late summer or autumn months. Polymarket shows a 72% probability that OpenAI will launch its IPO by December 31, 2026. Kalshi markets currently price an announcement before November at 81%, with bets specifically on before November 1 at 78%. The odds drop to 60% for an announcement before October and 38% for before September, although two sources indicate OpenAI aims to complete the process as early as September. Furthermore, competitors are under increased pressure as a result of these reports. Since Anthropic has grown to be a major force in enterprise AI and AI-driven software development, it is one of OpenAI's main competitors in the industry. Prediction market participants, however, don't seem to believe Anthropic will go public anytime soon. According to reports, Anthropic is talking with investors to obtain capital at a valuation of approximately $900 billion, which might exceed OpenAI's current private valuation. The corporation reported that its annualized revenue had surpassed $30 billion in April. Despite those numbers, there has been a noticeable change in market attitude due to recent revelations concerning confidential IPO filings; many traders now anticipate that OpenAI will reach Wall Street before its competitor.
  • Karpathy, an OpenAI co-founder and ex-Tesla AI director, has joined rival Anthropic joining other recent big-name hires like Chris Rohlf and Ross Nordeen.
  • Karpathy will build a team using Claude to speed up pretraining research.
  • Anthropic has also overtaken OpenAI in corporate adoption and is seeking to raise fresh funds at a valuation of around $950B valuation.

Andrej Karpathy, who was part of the founding members of OpenAI and most recently, was the director of artificial intelligence at Tesla, announced on Tuesday, May 19, that he had joined Anthropic, telling followers on X that “the next few years at the frontier of LLMs will be especially formative.”

For many, the move has brought back to the fore the ongoing debate about which AI firm is currently leading in terms of adoption, especially when a person of Karpathy’s caliber moves to a platform that is a rival to a company he cofounded. 

Who is the new big-name hire at Anthropic?

Karpathy is among the most recognizable researchers in the field of artificial intelligence. He co-founded OpenAI before leaving in 2017 to lead computer vision for Tesla’s Autopilot and Full Self-Driving programs. 

In 2022, he departed Tesla, returning briefly to OpenAI, and then founded the AI education start-up Eureka Labs.

Karpathy will be building a team focused on using Claude to accelerate pretraining research, the work that gives a model its core knowledge and capabilities. It is reported that he will be working with pre-training lead Nick Joseph. 

He wrote on X, “I am very excited to join the team here and get back to R&D. I remain deeply passionate about education and plan to resume my work on it in time.”

Has Anthropic jumped to the front of the AI ace?

Researchers capable of advancing the frontier are seen as a far scarcer resource than capital or chips, and the contest for that small pool is as decisive as any funding round. 

Currently, Anthropic seems to be poaching heavyweights across various departments, with cybersecurity veteran Chris Rohlf, who used to work at Meta, recently joining its frontier red team.

Karpathy also follows Ross Nordeen, a founding member of Elon Musk’s xAI, who joined Anthropic earlier this month, the same day the company struck a deal with SpaceX to rent compute infrastructure at xAI’s Colossus data center in Memphis. The talent is moving one way.

So are the business metrics. The latest Ramp AI Index found that Anthropic overtook OpenAI in corporate adoption for the first time, reaching 34.4% of businesses in April as OpenAI slipped to 32.3%. 

Anthropic makes biggest case as AI alpha with latest hire
Anthropic is challenging OpenAI’s AI lead. Source: Ramp

Over the past year, Anthropic has quadrupled its business adoption while OpenAI’s grew by 0.3%. Anthropic is also reportedly raising fresh capital at a valuation approaching $950 billion, ahead of OpenAI’s most recent $852 billion, on the strength of growing revenue, the Claude Code developer tool and the cybersecurity-focused Mythos model that has drawn attention in Washington.

Is the alpha case airtight, or is there a catch?

Ramp, whose own data may be used to reference adoption claims, also pointed out that Anthropic’s incentives are misaligned with customers, since the company earns more as businesses consume more tokens. 

Claude has faced complaints over outages and rate limits in recent weeks, and that a recent model change roughly triples token costs for prompts containing an image.

Some of the fastest-growing vendors on Ramp’s platform last month were inference services offering cheap, open-source models, and OpenAI’s Codex remains a low-cost, low-switching-cost alternative.

The hire, then, does not end the race. What it does is shift the burden of proof. 

A year ago, OpenAI was the unquestioned reference point against which every rival was measured. Today, the question is no longer whether anyone can catch OpenAI but whether OpenAI can hold its lead.

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Disclaimer. The information provided is not trading advice. Cryptopolitan.com holds no liability for any investments made based on the information provided on this page. We strongly recommend independent research and/or consultation with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions.

Hannah Collymore

Hannah Collymore

Hannah is a writer and editor with nearly a decade of blog writing and event reporting experience in the crypto space. At Cryptopolitan, Hannah contributes to the news page, reporting and analyzing the latest developments in DeFi, RWA, crypto regulation, AI and frontier tech industries. She graduated from Arcadia university with a degree in Business Administration.

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