In the midst of a challenging period marked by canceled projects, studio closures, and widespread layoffs, the video games industry is facing a ‘great correction.’ However, there are seven developments on the horizon that offer a glimmer of hope for the future of this dynamic sector.
The next nintendo console
Nintendo’s upcoming console, expected to debut this year, presents an opportunity for growth in the industry. While Nintendo consoles have historically primarily benefited the company itself, the potential for new development partners and a stickier, more engaging console could boost software sales and benefit the broader market.
Epic’s fortnite plan
Epic Games’ ambitious efforts to expand Fortnite’s capabilities and third-party engagement hold promise. By using Unreal Editor for Fortnite, developers can reach a vast audience across various platforms. While comparisons to Roblox are inevitable, Fortnite’s older player base and Unreal tools may provide unique monetization opportunities.
Developing markets and global opportunities
The video games market is increasingly expanding beyond traditional regions, with Southeast Asia, Latin America, and the Middle East and Africa showing robust revenue growth. Localized games may hold the key to success in these markets, opening doors for both AAA and indie developers.
Powerful mobile hardware and app store changes
Despite challenges, the mobile games market is evolving. Advanced smartphones are enabling AAA titles to make their mark, while potential changes in app store regulations could empower developers to sell their games and microtransactions directly, improving margins and fostering competition.
Convergence with movies and TV
The intersection of video games with television and film continues to grow, providing opportunities to establish brands and captivate audiences between game releases. The impact of adaptations like the Mario and Sonic movies and The Last of Us TV show on software sales highlights the potential of this cross-media relationship.
New tools (and AI)
The ever-increasing development time and costs in the AAA gaming space may find a solution in advancements in development tools and AI. Unity and Unreal are driving improvements in game engines, enabling more impressive games to be created more efficiently. Generative AI offers additional opportunities to expedite development, though ethical and legal concerns must be addressed.
The New (and Old) generation of gamers
The gaming industry continues to attract a growing audience, with digital natives contributing to its expansion. While older players may face time constraints, flexible gaming devices and a rise in retro gaming services, remasters, and remakes aim to retain their engagement. Catering to diverse lifestyles is becoming increasingly important.
Subscription models and game streaming: A mixed bag
Subscription models offer opportunities for both indie and AAA studios, but concerns about their impact on premium releases and overall revenues persist. Game streaming, though promising, faces technological challenges and business model uncertainties, with a timeframe of five to ten years for it to become a reality.
Despite the current challenges facing the video games industry, millions of players worldwide continue to embrace and celebrate the quality of games available today. Titles like Palworld, Hogwarts Legacy, and Zelda: Breath of the Wild 2 have captured the hearts of gamers, underscoring the industry’s enduring appeal.
While the video games industry navigates a period of adjustment and uncertainty, these seven developments offer hope for a brighter future. With innovation, adaptation, and a commitment to delivering exceptional gaming experiences, the industry can build upon its solid foundation and continue to thrive in the years to come.
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