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LIVE: Chair Powell confirms that he will stay at the Fed after his term ends next month

1 mins read ByJai HamidJai Hamid
Powell Fed
  • The Fed held rates at 3.50% to 3.75%, marking its third straight pause of the year.
  • Powell said he will stay on as Fed governor after his chair term ends on May 15, while he waits for the investigation to fully close.
  • Kevin Warsh’s Fed nomination advanced in a 13-11 party-line vote, with Democrats warning about Fed independence under Trump.
  • Powell said higher oil and gas prices could hurt inflation and GDP, while the Fed stays near neutral and waits before moving rates again.

Live Reporting

19:59 Powell says gas prices can hit growth as Fed keeps policy near neutral

Powell said the Fed’s internal split is not mainly about raising rates now. He said the disagreement is more about whether the central bank should keep a neutral policy bias or leave the door tilted toward cuts.

Asked about the Iran war, Powell said the oil shock is hitting Europe and Asia harder than the U.S. for now. Still, he said Americans would feel more pressure if the conflict lasts longer and prices climb further.

Powell said higher gas prices are already hurting drivers across the country, and those increases may continue. He said when households spend more at the pump, they have less disposable income for other purchases, which means there will be a hit to GDP.

Powell also said the Fed has to avoid using its tools for political goals. He said administrations often see central bank tools and want to redirect them toward other priorities, but the Fed has resisted that because it would pull monetary policy into politics and fiscal policy.

Powell said current policy is likely close to the neutral rate, which he placed somewhere in the 3% to 4% range. He said the Fed is prepared to move either way from here.

“If we need to hike, we will,” Powell said. He added that if the Fed needs to cut, it will send the opposite signal.

19:50 Powell says tariff inflation should fade as he waits for DOJ probe to fully close

Powell said the Fed still expects tariffs to create a one-time jump in prices, not a lasting inflation shock.

Powell said policymakers have worked for a long time with the view that tariffs would lift prices once, then fade from the inflation data. He said the Fed now expects that process to show up over the next two quarters.

Powell was also asked about Kevin Warsh and the Fed transition. Powell said he has not seen Kevin since January, but expects the handoff to be normal and standard.

Powell then said the risk of rising oil prices pushing into core inflation is real, but the Fed still needs more time to see how it plays out.

Powell said the current policy setting is at the upper end of neutral, or possibly slightly restrictive. He said that gives the Fed room to wait before making its next move.

Powell also addressed the split inside the Fed after officials kept rates unchanged. He said several policymakers are concerned about cutting interest rates while inflation remains a problem.

That concern showed up in the latest vote. Some officials opposed language they viewed as keeping a bias toward future rate cuts.

Powell said it was easy to understand that position, given the latest inflation data and the risk that more cuts could come too soon.

19:44 Powell says legal attacks on the Fed pushed him to stay as governor

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said his decision to remain a Fed governor came down to one issue: protecting the central bank from legal pressure that could pull politics into rate policy.

Powell was asked at the start of the press conference why he chose to stay after his chair term ends. He said he had been preparing to retire, but events over the past three months changed his position.

Powell said the Fed has faced a series of legal challenges that could damage its ability to set monetary policy without weighing political interests. He also made clear that he was not talking about public criticism from elected officials.

The Department of Justice had been investigating Powell over the Fed renovation project and statements he made to Congress last year. That probe became another point of conflict in the department’s actions against opponents and critics of TRUMP.

Powell said the pressure is hurting the Fed as an institution and could endanger what matters most to the public: the ability to make interest-rate decisions without political influence.

He said he will step down when he believes the timing is right.

“I’m waiting, you know, for the investigation to be well and truly over with finality and transparency … And I will leave when I think it’s appropriate to do so.”

Powell also said his goal is “not to interfere” with the next Fed chair.

19:31 Kevin Warsh moves closer to confirmation after party-line Senate Banking vote

The Senate Banking Committee voted Wednesday to advance Kevin Warsh’s nomination to lead the Federal Reserve, putting TRUMP’s pick in line for a final vote before the Republican-led Senate.

The vote split fully by party. All 13 Republicans on the committee backed Kevin, while all 11 Democrats voted against him.

Powell Fed
Source: Federal Reserve

Sen. Elizabeth Warren, the panel’s top Democrat, said in a press release that it was the first fully partisan committee vote on a Fed chair nominee in the committee’s history.

Before the vote, Elizabeth criticized Kevin’s nomination and warned that confirming him would weaken the Fed’s independence from the White House.

“The Trump economy is in real trouble. Inflation is up, job creation is down. The stink of stagflation is in the air, and President Trump is getting desperate,” Elizabeth told the committee.

She said moving Kevin forward would bring TRUMP closer to what she described as an unlawful effort to take control of the Fed and force easier policy to lift the economy.

“No one is fooled,” Elizabeth said during Wednesday’s vote. “Trump is still going after control of the Fed, and he is keeping the threat of bogus criminal charges alive until he gets what he wants.”

19:30 Powell says he will stay as governor after his Fed chair term ends

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has started his scheduled press conference, which is likely to be his final one as Fed chair.

Powell said the recent rise in energy prices will lift headline inflation in the near term. He added that the wider effect on the economy is still uncertain, including how long the pressure could last.

Powell also confirmed that he does not plan to leave the Fed immediately when his term as chair ends on May 15. He said he will remain on the Fed Board of Governors for an unspecified period.

“After my term as chair ends on May 15th, I will continue to serve as a governor for a period of time to be determined,” Powell said.

He said he expects to take a quieter role after leaving the chair position. Powell added that there is only ever one chair of the Federal Reserve Board.

Before that, Powell congratulated Kevin Warsh after Kevin cleared the Senate Banking Committee vote on Wednesday morning. Powell said it was an important step and wished Kevin well as the confirmation process continues.

Powell also spoke about the Fed’s role and staff, saying the institution is resilient, capable, and filled with professionals who have strong talent and dedication.

He said serving with public officials across the Board of Governors and the wider Federal Reserve System has been a privilege.

19:00 Fed holds rates steady as dissent reaches highest level since 1992

The Federal Reserve left its benchmark rate unchanged at 3.50% to 3.75% on Wednesday, keeping policy steady while inflation remains above target and energy prices add new pressure.

In its FOMC statement, the Fed said economic activity is still growing at a solid pace. It also said job gains have been low on average, while the unemployment rate has barely changed in recent months.

The Fed said inflation remains elevated, partly because of the recent rise in global energy prices. It also pointed to the Middle East as a source of heavy uncertainty for the economic outlook.

The Committee repeated that it wants maximum employment and 2% inflation over the longer run. It said it is watching risks on both sides of that mandate.

The Fed said future rate decisions will depend on incoming data, the economic outlook, and the balance of risks. It also said it is ready to adjust policy if new risks threaten its goals.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell voted for the decision, along with John C. Williams, Michael S. Barr, Michelle W. Bowman, Lisa D. Cook, Philip N. Jefferson, Anna Paulson, and Christopher J. Waller.

Stephen I. Miran voted against the action because he wanted a 25-basis-point rate cut at this meeting. Beth M. Hammack, Neel Kashkari, and Lorie K. Logan also dissented, but for a different reason. They supported keeping rates unchanged, but did not back the statement’s easing bias at this time.

That split marks the highest level of dissent since 1992, turning a widely expected rate hold into a more divided Fed decision ahead of Powell’s departure.

18:19 Fed rate hold is priced in, but Jerome Powell’s future is now the real story

The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates at 3.50% to 3.75% today, the third straight pause this year, as the CME FedWatch tool shows a 100% probability of no change before the announcement.

But perhaps the bigger attraction on the Floor today is what Chairman Jerome Powell says after the meeting, especially with bettors already trying to price in when he leaves the Fed.

On Kalshi, bettors give Jerome a 30% chance of resigning from the Fed Board of Governors by June, but the odds rise to 66% by August and 81% by the end of the year.

Powell said after the March FOMC meeting that he would not step down as governor until the Department of Justice finished its criminal inquiry into him. The DOJ dropped that probe on Friday, and Kalshi odds for a June resignation jumped to almost 54.5% right after that, before falling again in the days since.

Polymarket traders are reading the timing differently. They now give an 87% chance that Powell steps aside between May 15 and May 22, making today’s press conference even more important.

Powell is set to speak to reporters after the Fed decision in what could be his last meeting as Fed chair if President Donald Trump’s nominee, Kevin Warsh, gets Senate approval before the Fed’s next meeting in mid-June. Kevin’s nomination moved forward through the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday morning.

Some observers worry Kevin was picked to push Trump’s view on rates, though Kevin has said he supports the Fed’s independence.

If Powell stays until August, he would remain through two more meetings, one in June and another in late July. His term as a Fed governor runs until 2028.

What to know

The Fed kept rates unchanged, but Powell’s future, Warsh’s nomination, rising energy prices, and the split inside the Fed now drive the story.

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