Bitcoin futures open interest has reached an all-time high. Open interest refers to the total number of outstanding derivative contracts that haven’t been settled.
It is an important indicator of market sentiment. When it surges, it hints at big moves in the market. So, what does this mean for BTC’s price?
Major players and their stakes
Right now, Bitcoin futures open interest stands at an impressive 559.50K BTC, worth about $37.54 billion. The big players in this game are the exchanges.
CME and Binance are leading the charge. CME has an open interest of 161.12K BTC, valued at $10.79 billion. Binance follows closely with 122.41K BTC, worth $8.21 billion.
Bybit and Bitget are also in the mix, showing good numbers. Bybit has 87.86K BTC ($5.89 billion), and Bitget has 61.98K BTC ($4.15 billion).
Notably, CME and Binance are dominating the scene. CME’s share of the market is about 28.73%, while Binance holds 21.87%. Bybit comes in with 15.68%, and Bitget with 11.05%.
Traders get bullish on Bitcoin
The surge in open interest typically means that traders are speculating heavily on BTC, expecting big price movements.
Data shows that Bitcoin’s average transaction cost is now $0.734. This is the lowest fee since August 2023, when it briefly touched $0.64.
Lower fees usually mean less congestion on the network, making it easier and cheaper to send Bitcoin.
The recent rise in BTC’s price to $68,000, with a brief peak at $70,000 on Coinbase, adds to the excitement. Transaction fees tend to soar when the network is busy.
Back in April, the cost to send Bitcoin hit a record high of $128 per transaction, thanks to the increased activity following the launch of Runes, a new token standard on the blockchain.
But Bitcoin hasn’t had it easy. After hitting nearly $74,000 in March, it struggled to stay above $70,000. Miners also play an important role in this. They can charge higher fees when the network is busy, making it more expensive to send Bitcoin quickly.
However, the current low transaction fees tells us the network isn’t overly congested. Traders are betting on both long and short positions. Long positions expect the price to go up, while short positions bet on a decline.
The balance between these positions can indicate market expectations. Right now, the high open interest suggests strong engagement and anticipation of future price movements.
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